The global geopolitical phenomenon of the early 21st century
is the end of the dominance of the Western world. The West began its global
expansion at the end of the 15th century, when the Spanish arrived in America
in 1492 and the Portuguese in India in 1498. Since then, the expansion of the
European empires in America, Asia, Africa and Oceania has been the axis of
development. geopolitical during the second half of the second millennium. Western
dominance not only implied geographic and economic supremacy, but also
practical scientific-technological capacity. Paper, gunpowder and printing
originate from the East, but in the hands of the West they became instruments
of its global expansion. The Spanish and Portuguese empires first; English and
French later; and the German and Italian third, were different instruments of
Western global dominance.
The decolonization that takes place after the Second World
War is probably the dominant political event of the beginning of the global
hegemony of the West, and perhaps the return of Hong Kong to China by Great
Britain and that of Boa by Portugal to India symbolize , at the end of the 20th
century, the meaning of this geopolitical change. The independence of India in
the middle of the 20th century is also a fact in that direction.
In the geopolitical vision of the United States at the
beginning of the 21st century, its dominant idea is to continue being the power
in the Pacific, and for China and Russia the expansion of their influence in
the immediate environment. This was expressed verbatim by Biden, who as Obama's
Vice President 10 years ago said in Beijing: “The United States is and will
continue to be the power of the Pacific”, taking hegemony in the Atlantic for
granted. His intention to continue being the bioceanic power par excellence is
reflected in his 11 aircraft carriers that sail the world's waters.
Regarding China, its central geopolitical idea is the New
Silk Road. It sinks its roots in the passage from the first to the second
millennium. It is a fundamentally terrestrial axis, which goes from the coasts
of the Far East and the Pacific, to the Baltic in the Atlantic, passing through
the Mediterranean. Just as Anglo-Saxon geopolitics has had a maritime vision,
China's has been terrestrial. While the United States has borders with only two
countries, Canada to the north and Mexico to the south, the Asian power has
them with eighteen countries. The New Silk Road is a historical and geographical
project that has three chapters arising from geopolitical ambitions: expansion
to Southeast Asia, Africa and South America.
Russia is the largest country in the world, stretching from
the Atlantic to the Pacific and is the dominant power in the Arctic. Its
geopolitical project is very clear and it began to develop at the beginning of
the 18th century by Tsar Pedro I, who defeated Sweden and reached the Baltic.
For this Tsar, Russia was the "Power of the Five Seas": Black, Azov,
Caspian, Baltic and Arctic (Putin in July, when presenting the new naval
strategy, added a sixth: the Oj, where he has islands in dispute with Japan ).
The Russian geopolitical project in the 21st century is the reconstitution of
the Soviet Union, dismantled after the dissolution of communism. Europe has
been the center of Western global dominance and perhaps for this reason it is
the continent that faces the greatest relative setback. Its central challenge
is to maintain the cohesion achieved through the European Union and its key
debate is whether to continue as a subordinate ally to the United States or try
to play a balanced policy between this country and China, from which today it
seems far removed.
In the first decades of the 21st century, the NATO conflicts
that are simultaneously developing with Russia and China are actually the
struggle between Washington and Beijing for global hegemony. In the long term,
the cohesion of the European Union and NATO is a question mark, although it is
not in the short or medium term, and the ideological division of the United
States is possibly, together with the questioning of the functioning of
democracy in the West, its most important ideological threat. Thirty years ago,
geopolitics was out of fashion. The idea that the national state was
disappearing due to economic globalization and political multilateralism
dominated. The new technologies made the territory lose meaning and in which
natural resources lose value compared to the possession of knowledge.
Nationalism was a receding value. Today the vision is different. New
technologies have not only been nationalized, but are a central battleground
between the United States and China for global hegemony. The multilateral has
weakened and the regional powers have more gravitation. Social networks, which
were believed to impose a universal culture, today are more instruments that
reinforce identity conflicts. Wars, which thirty years ago were considered a
thing of the past, today have once again become a dramatic present, in which
diplomats speak like warriors and military exercises are central instruments of
foreign policy.
Geopolitics is closely linked to history and at the Davos
Forum, Henry Kissinger pointed out that it was a mistake to expel Russia from
Europe, because that would make the continent more insecure. It should be
remembered that Great Britain and Russia were military allies in the three
modern world wars: the Napoleonic ones, as well as the First and Second. He
also said that it was a mistake to push Russia into a military alliance with
China, something that has happened in recent weeks. He also added on that
occasion that Ukraine was going to have to accept territorial concessions. It
should be remembered that Khrushchev handed over Crimea to Ukraine on the 300th
anniversary of this country agreeing to submit to the Russian Empire. Crimea
was, in the middle of the 19th century, the reason for the war that Russia
waged with Great Britain, France, Turkey and Sardinia.
Linking the concepts of geopolitics and geoeconomics, the UK's
strategic vision for 2030 presented last year points to three prevailing
trends: the growing importance of the Indo-Pacific, a more assertive and
threatening China, and a greater role for what it calls the “middle powers”.
The latter has been corroborated in the almost six months of war between Russia
and Ukraine. It should be remembered that countries like Mexico, Brazil and
Argentina in Latin America; Egypt, South Africa and Nigeria in Africa;
Indonesia, Pakistan, Thailand and Vietnam in Asia; and Saudi Arabia and the
Emirates in the Arab world, coincided, without prior coordination, in
condemning the Russian invasion of Ukraine because it affected the principle of
sovereignty, and they did not join the economic sanctions against Russia
carried out by Europe and the United States at the same time. for the same
reason, because it affects the principle of sovereignty. That is, they have
maintained an independent position in the conflict. Moving forward, a
geopolitical axis is drawn between the northern hemisphere and the southern
hemisphere. But the first will continue to be in the coming centuries, the one
that concentrates population and resources. Historically, the geopolitical has
been linked to the military capacity of the powers to achieve their strategic
interests.
Almost a year into the Ukraine war, Russia's determination
to recruit 137,000 men for its Armed Forces ; the decision by NATO and its
allies announced on August 23 that they will maintain support for Ukraine
"for years"; and the geopolitical conflicts that are developing
simultaneously between the Western alliance and its allies around Ukraine and
Taiwan, show a dangerous and uncertain global geopolitical situation.
Geopolitics of the 21st century and almost a year of war in
Ukraine
The global geopolitical phenomenon of the early 21st century
is the end of the dominance of the Western world. The West began its global
expansion at the end of the 15th century, when the Spanish arrived in America
in 1492 and the Portuguese in India in 1498. Since then, the expansion of the
European empires in America, Asia, Africa and Oceania has been the axis of
development. geopolitical during the second half of the second millennium. Western
dominance not only implied geographic and economic supremacy, but also
practical scientific-technological capacity. Paper, gunpowder and printing
originate from the East, but in the hands of the West they became instruments
of its global expansion. The Spanish and Portuguese empires first; English and
French later; and the German and Italian third, were different instruments of
Western global dominance.
The decolonization that takes place after the Second World
War is probably the dominant political event of the beginning of the global
hegemony of the West, and perhaps the return of Hong Kong to China by Great
Britain and that of Boa by Portugal to India symbolize , at the end of the 20th
century, the meaning of this geopolitical change. The independence of India in
the middle of the 20th century is also a fact in that direction.
In the geopolitical vision of the United States at the
beginning of the 21st century, its dominant idea is to continue being the power
in the Pacific, and for China and Russia the expansion of their influence in
the immediate environment. This was expressed verbatim by Biden, who as Obama's
Vice President 10 years ago said in Beijing: “The United States is and will
continue to be the power of the Pacific”, taking hegemony in the Atlantic for
granted. His intention to continue being the bioceanic power par excellence is
reflected in his 11 aircraft carriers that sail the world's waters.
Regarding China, its central geopolitical idea is the New
Silk Road. It sinks its roots in the passage from the first to the second
millennium. It is a fundamentally terrestrial axis, which goes from the coasts
of the Far East and the Pacific, to the Baltic in the Atlantic, passing through
the Mediterranean. Just as Anglo-Saxon geopolitics has had a maritime vision,
China's has been terrestrial. While the United States has borders with only two
countries, Canada to the north and Mexico to the south, the Asian power has
them with eighteen countries. The New Silk Road is a historical and geographical
project that has three chapters arising from geopolitical ambitions: expansion
to Southeast Asia, Africa and South America.
Russia is the largest country in the world, stretching from
the Atlantic to the Pacific and is the dominant power in the Arctic. Its
geopolitical project is very clear and it began to develop at the beginning of
the 18th century by Tsar Pedro I, who defeated Sweden and reached the Baltic.
For this Tsar, Russia was the "Power of the Five Seas": Black, Azov,
Caspian, Baltic and Arctic (Putin in July, when presenting the new naval
strategy, added a sixth: the Oj, where he has islands in dispute with Japan ).
The Russian geopolitical project in the 21st century is the reconstitution of
the Soviet Union, dismantled after the dissolution of communism. Europe has
been the center of Western global dominance and perhaps for this reason it is
the continent that faces the greatest relative setback. Its central challenge
is to maintain the cohesion achieved through the European Union and its key
debate is whether to continue as a subordinate ally to the United States or try
to play a balanced policy between this country and China, from which today it
seems far removed.
In the first decades of the 21st century, the NATO conflicts
that are simultaneously developing with Russia and China are actually the
struggle between Washington and Beijing for global hegemony. In the long term,
the cohesion of the European Union and NATO is a question mark, although it is
not in the short or medium term, and the ideological division of the United
States is possibly, together with the questioning of the functioning of
democracy in the West, its most important ideological threat. Thirty years ago,
geopolitics was out of fashion. The idea that the national state was
disappearing due to economic globalization and political multilateralism
dominated. The new technologies made the territory lose meaning and in which
natural resources lose value compared to the possession of knowledge.
Nationalism was a receding value. Today the vision is different. New
technologies have not only been nationalized, but are a central battleground
between the United States and China for global hegemony. The multilateral has
weakened and the regional powers have more gravitation. Social networks, which
were believed to impose a universal culture, today are more instruments that
reinforce identity conflicts. Wars, which thirty years ago were considered a
thing of the past, today have once again become a dramatic present, in which
diplomats speak like warriors and military exercises are central instruments of
foreign policy.
Geopolitics is closely linked to history and at the Davos
Forum, Henry Kissinger pointed out that it was a mistake to expel Russia from
Europe, because that would make the continent more insecure. It should be
remembered that Great Britain and Russia were military allies in the three
modern world wars: the Napoleonic ones, as well as the First and Second. He
also said that it was a mistake to push Russia into a military alliance with
China, something that has happened in recent weeks. He also added on that
occasion that Ukraine was going to have to accept territorial concessions. It
should be remembered that Khrushchev handed over Crimea to Ukraine on the 300th
anniversary of this country agreeing to submit to the Russian Empire. Crimea
was, in the middle of the 19th century, the reason for the war that Russia
waged with Great Britain, France, Turkey and Sardinia.
Linking the concepts of geopolitics and geoeconomics, the UK's
strategic vision for 2030 presented last year points to three prevailing
trends: the growing importance of the Indo-Pacific, a more assertive and
threatening China, and a greater role for what it calls the “middle powers”.
The latter has been corroborated in the almost six months of war between Russia
and Ukraine. It should be remembered that countries like Mexico, Brazil and
Argentina in Latin America; Egypt, South Africa and Nigeria in Africa;
Indonesia, Pakistan, Thailand and Vietnam in Asia; and Saudi Arabia and the
Emirates in the Arab world, coincided, without prior coordination, in
condemning the Russian invasion of Ukraine because it affected the principle of
sovereignty, and they did not join the economic sanctions against Russia
carried out by Europe and the United States at the same time. for the same
reason, because it affects the principle of sovereignty. That is, they have
maintained an independent position in the conflict. Moving forward, a
geopolitical axis is drawn between the northern hemisphere and the southern
hemisphere. But the first will continue to be in the coming centuries, the one
that concentrates population and resources. Historically, the geopolitical has
been linked to the military capacity of the powers to achieve their strategic
interests.
Almost a year into the Ukraine war, Russia's determination
to recruit 137,000 men for its Armed Forces ; the decision by NATO and its
allies announced on August 23 that they will maintain support for Ukraine
"for years"; and the geopolitical conflicts that are developing
simultaneously between the Western alliance and its allies around Ukraine and
Taiwan, show a dangerous and uncertain global geopolitical situation.